Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000668 0.000759 0.000855 0.000964 0.001084 0.001212 0.001358
2025-10-19 0.000522 0.000647 0.000789 0.000959 0.001159 0.001383 0.001653
2025-10-26 0.000436 0.000575 0.000739 0.000946 0.001197 0.001489 0.001853
2025-11-02 0.000382 0.000531 0.000715 0.000954 0.001255 0.001615 0.002074
2025-11-09 0.000336 0.000491 0.000689 0.000955 0.001298 0.001720 0.002270
2025-11-16 0.000287 0.000440 0.000643 0.000925 0.001297 0.001766 0.002392
2025-11-23 0.000248 0.000399 0.000606 0.000901 0.001301 0.001816 0.002516
2025-11-30 0.000222 0.000372 0.000585 0.000897 0.001329 0.001895 0.002678
2025-12-07 0.000200 0.000350 0.000569 0.000896 0.001360 0.001978 0.002846
2025-12-14 0.000179 0.000326 0.000547 0.000886 0.001376 0.002040 0.002986
2025-12-21 0.000159 0.000302 0.000523 0.000871 0.001384 0.002091 0.003112
2025-12-28 0.000151 0.000297 0.000527 0.000896 0.001449 0.002220 0.003346
2026-01-04 0.000141 0.000287 0.000524 0.000912 0.001501 0.002335 0.003565
2026-01-11 0.000127 0.000270 0.000507 0.000904 0.001518 0.002399 0.003715
2026-01-18 0.000113 0.000252 0.000488 0.000892 0.001528 0.002452 0.003850
2026-01-25 0.000105 0.000242 0.000482 0.000900 0.001567 0.002549 0.004048
2026-02-01 0.000097 0.000231 0.000473 0.000900 0.001595 0.002630 0.004224
2026-02-08 0.000084 0.000211 0.000446 0.000871 0.001575 0.002637 0.004293
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000194 0.000424 0.000848 0.001563 0.002656 0.004379
2026-02-22 0.000067 0.000184 0.000413 0.000845 0.001581 0.002720 0.004533
2026-03-01 0.000062 0.000176 0.000404 0.000844 0.001604 0.002792 0.004699
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.000165 0.000391 0.000834 0.001611 0.002840 0.004829
2026-03-15 0.000050 0.000155 0.000377 0.000821 0.001611 0.002875 0.004941